Friday 19 October 2018, 22:00
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
43%
27%
30%
Home win
42.8%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
30.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Alaves | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.3% | 6.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Alaves | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
7.2
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
12.7
|
7.4
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
9.0
|
5.6
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
4.5
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Celta Vigo
3-4
Alaves
Nov 2025
Alaves
0-1
Celta Vigo
Jan 2025
Alaves
1-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
2-1
Alaves
Apr 2024
Alaves
3-0
Celta Vigo
Sep 2023
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.