Saturday 6 October 2018, 19:30
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
22%
23%
55%
Home win
21.7%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
54.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Alaves / Real Madrid | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
8.5
|
8.7
|
5.5
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
10.9
|
9.9
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
5.8
|
5.6
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.2
|
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Real Madrid
2-1
Alaves
Dec 2025
Alaves
1-2
Real Madrid
Apr 2025
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid
Sep 2024
Real Madrid
3-2
Alaves
May 2024
Real Madrid
5-0
Alaves
Dec 2023
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.