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Saturday 24 November 2018, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
10% 16% 73%
Home win
10.2%
Draw
16.4%
Away win
73.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 10.2% 9.82
Draw 16.4% 6.08
Manchester City 73.4% 1.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.4% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.6% 27.84
Over 1.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.7% 7.32
Over 2.5 67.1% 1.49
Under 2.5 32.9% 3.04
Over 3.5 45.3% 2.21
Under 3.5 54.7% 1.83
Over 4.5 26.6% 3.76
Under 4.5 73.4% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.5% 1.83
No 45.5% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 26.6% 3.76
West Ham / Manchester City 83.6% 1.20
Draw / Manchester City 89.8% 1.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.6
7.7
10.5
9.0
5.8
3.0
1
2.4
7.6
9.2
7.9
5.1
2.6
2
1.2
3.2
4.1
3.5
2.2
1.2
3
0.4
0.9
1.2
1.0
0.7
0.3
4
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.