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Saturday 24 November 2018, 19:30 Wembley Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 2–0
48% 27% 26%
Home win
47.8%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
25.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 47.8% 2.09
Draw 26.6% 3.76
Chelsea 25.6% 3.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 12.92
Over 1.5 75.0% 1.33
Under 1.5 25.0% 4.01
Over 2.5 49.6% 2.02
Under 2.5 50.4% 1.98
Over 3.5 27.6% 3.62
Under 3.5 72.4% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.66
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.2% 1.88
No 46.8% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 74.4% 1.34
Tottenham / Chelsea 73.4% 1.36
Draw / Chelsea 52.2% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
6.9
4.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
10.3
12.7
6.5
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
8.6
9.4
5.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
4.5
4.9
2.7
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.8
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Chelsea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.