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Monday 22 October 2018, 22:00 Anoeta Full time
54% 23% 23%
Home win
53.9%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
23.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 53.9% 1.85
Draw 22.8% 4.38
Girona 23.2% 4.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.33
Over 1.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.9% 6.27
Over 2.5 63.0% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.0% 2.70
Over 3.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 3.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.8% 4.39
Under 4.5 77.2% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.3% 1.61
No 37.7% 2.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 76.8% 1.30
Real Sociedad / Girona 77.2% 1.30
Draw / Girona 46.1% 2.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
4.3
3.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
7.2
10.3
6.1
2.6
0.8
0.2
2
7.7
9.7
6.1
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
5.1
6.4
4.0
1.7
0.5
0.1
4
2.6
3.2
2.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Girona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.