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Saturday 20 October 2018, 14:00 Santiago Bernabéu Full time
79% 13% 9%
Home win
78.6%
Draw
12.9%
Away win
8.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid 78.6% 1.27
Draw 12.9% 7.75
Levante 8.5% 11.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.2% 1.02
Under 0.5 1.8% 54.26
Over 1.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 1.5 7.7% 13.01
Over 2.5 78.6% 1.27
Under 2.5 21.4% 4.67
Over 3.5 59.9% 1.67
Under 3.5 40.1% 2.49
Over 4.5 40.4% 2.47
Under 4.5 59.6% 1.68

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.7% 1.62
No 38.3% 2.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid / Draw 91.5% 1.09
Real Madrid / Levante 87.1% 1.15
Draw / Levante 21.4% 4.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.8
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
4.6
5.3
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
7.6
7.8
4.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
8.0
8.2
4.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
6.3
6.5
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
5
4.0
4.1
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
Rows: Real Madrid goals. Columns: Levante goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.