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Sunday 21 October 2018, 13:00 Estadio de Vallecas Full time
23% 29% 48%
Home win
22.6%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
48.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rayo Vallecano 22.6% 4.42
Draw 29.2% 3.42
Getafe 48.2% 2.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.6% 8.65
Over 1.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.1% 2.94
Over 2.5 38.4% 2.60
Under 2.5 61.6% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.6% 5.38
Under 3.5 81.4% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.5% 13.28
Under 4.5 92.5% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.6% 2.29
No 56.4% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rayo Vallecano / Draw 51.8% 1.93
Rayo Vallecano / Getafe 70.8% 1.41
Draw / Getafe 77.4% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.6
14.0
10.1
4.6
1.6
0.4
1
8.5
13.4
8.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
3.9
5.4
3.7
1.7
0.6
0.2
3
1.1
1.5
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Rayo Vallecano goals. Columns: Getafe goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.