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Saturday 24 November 2018, 17:00 Old Trafford Full time
66% 22% 12%
Home win
66.0%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
12.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 66.0% 1.51
Draw 21.6% 4.64
Crystal Palace 12.4% 8.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.89
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.16
Over 2.5 51.0% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.0% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.9% 3.46
Under 3.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.18
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.5% 2.20
No 54.5% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 87.6% 1.14
Manchester United / Crystal Palace 78.4% 1.27
Draw / Crystal Palace 34.0% 2.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
4.3
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
12.5
10.2
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
13.0
9.5
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
8.5
6.3
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.2
3.1
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.7
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.