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Saturday 24 November 2018, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
Hertha Berlin
3–3
HT 1–2
1899 Hoffenheim
31% 25% 43%
Home win
31.5%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
43.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 31.5% 3.18 — —
Draw 25.4% 3.94 — —
1899 Hoffenheim 43.1% 2.32 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06 — —
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.83 — —
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24 — —
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.22 — —
Over 2.5 57.8% 1.73 — —
Under 2.5 42.2% 2.37 — —
Over 3.5 35.4% 2.82 — —
Under 3.5 64.6% 1.55 — —
Over 4.5 18.6% 5.38 — —
Under 4.5 81.4% 1.23 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.8% 1.65 — —
No 39.2% 2.55 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 56.9% 1.76 — —
Hertha Berlin / 1899 Hoffenheim 74.6% 1.34 — —
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 68.5% 1.46 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
7.4
6.6
3.6
1.5
0.5
1
6.1
11.8
9.1
5.0
2.0
0.7
2
4.6
7.6
6.2
3.4
1.4
0.5
3
2.1
3.5
2.8
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
0.7
1.2
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hertha Berlin
D D D L L
1899 Hoffenheim
L W W W W

Head to head

Mar 2023 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin Oct 2022 Hertha Berlin 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim Mar 2022 Hertha Berlin 3-0 1899 Hoffenheim Oct 2021 1899 Hoffenheim 2-0 Hertha Berlin May 2021 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 Hertha Berlin Jan 2021 Hertha Berlin 0-3 1899 Hoffenheim

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.