Saturday 3 November 2018, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
38%
24%
38%
Home win
37.9%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
38.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / 1899 Hoffenheim | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
5.4
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
10.6
|
8.3
|
4.6
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
8.3
|
6.9
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
4.6
|
3.8
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.9
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
Aug 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
1899 Hoffenheim
Feb 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
3-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Sep 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
1-4
Bayer Leverkusen
Mar 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Nov 2023
1899 Hoffenheim
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.