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Saturday 27 October 2018, 19:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
62% 23% 15%
Home win
61.9%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
15.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 61.9% 1.61
Draw 22.8% 4.39
VfB Stuttgart 15.3% 6.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.41
Over 1.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.2% 4.31
Over 2.5 52.1% 1.92
Under 2.5 47.9% 2.09
Over 3.5 29.9% 3.34
Under 3.5 70.1% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.6% 6.84
Under 4.5 85.4% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.2% 2.03
No 50.8% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 84.7% 1.18
1899 Hoffenheim / VfB Stuttgart 77.2% 1.29
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 38.1% 2.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
4.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
11.5
10.9
4.3
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
11.6
9.8
4.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
3
7.4
6.3
2.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
3.6
3.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.4
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.