Saturday 24 November 2018, 17:00
Craven Cottage
Full time
33%
28%
39%
Home win
32.9%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
38.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Southampton | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.7% | 11.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 8.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham / Draw | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Fulham / Southampton | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.7
|
9.8
|
7.0
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
13.5
|
8.4
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
7.6
|
5.1
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.1
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Southampton
1-2
Fulham
Dec 2024
Fulham
0-0
Southampton
May 2023
Southampton
0-2
Fulham
Dec 2022
Fulham
2-1
Southampton
May 2021
Southampton
3-1
Fulham
Dec 2020
Fulham
0-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.