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Wednesday 19 December 2018, 21:30 Allianz Arena Full time
Bayern München
1–0
HT 0–0
RB Leipzig
69% 18% 13%
Home win
69.5%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
12.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 69.5% 1.44 — —
Draw 17.6% 5.67 — —
RB Leipzig 12.9% 7.76 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.27 — —
Over 1.5 87.4% 1.14 — —
Under 1.5 12.6% 7.95 — —
Over 2.5 68.9% 1.45 — —
Under 2.5 31.1% 3.22 — —
Over 3.5 47.5% 2.10 — —
Under 3.5 52.5% 1.91 — —
Over 4.5 28.5% 3.51 — —
Under 4.5 71.5% 1.40 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.5% 1.68 — —
No 40.5% 2.47 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 87.1% 1.15 — —
Bayern München / RB Leipzig 82.4% 1.21 — —
Draw / RB Leipzig 30.5% 3.28 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
2.5
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
6.8
7.9
3.8
1.3
0.3
0.1
2
9.1
9.4
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
7.7
7.9
4.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
4.9
5.0
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
5
2.5
2.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Bayern München
L D W W W
RB Leipzig
W L W L W

Head to head

Jan 2026 RB Leipzig 1-5 Bayern München Aug 2025 Bayern München 6-0 RB Leipzig May 2025 RB Leipzig 3-3 Bayern München Dec 2024 Bayern München 5-1 RB Leipzig Feb 2024 Bayern München 2-1 RB Leipzig Sep 2023 RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern München

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.