Sunday 11 November 2018, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
56%
22%
22%
Home win
56.0%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
22.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 26.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.6% | 7.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / Bayer Leverkusen | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
3.6
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
9.4
|
5.8
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
9.5
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
6.8
|
4.4
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
3.6
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1
RB Leipzig
Dec 2025
RB Leipzig
1-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Jan 2025
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Aug 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-3
RB Leipzig
Jan 2024
RB Leipzig
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Aug 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
3-2
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.