Saturday 8 December 2018, 16:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
92%
6%
2%
Home win
91.9%
Draw
5.7%
Away win
2.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 5.7% | 17.40 | — | — |
| FC Nurnberg | 2.3% | 42.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.1% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.9% | 106.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.5% | 22.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 14.0% | 7.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Bayern München / FC Nurnberg | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Nurnberg | 8.1% | 12.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.2
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.4
|
6.6
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.7
|
6.8
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
8.0
|
5.6
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.