Monday 3 December 2018, 21:30
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Full time
25%
22%
53%
Home win
25.0%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
52.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nurnberg | 25.0% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| No | 33.3% | 3.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nurnberg / Draw | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| FC Nurnberg / Bayer Leverkusen | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.6
|
5.8
|
6.6
|
4.6
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
3.7
|
9.4
|
9.3
|
6.5
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
6.2
|
6.5
|
4.6
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.9
|
3.1
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.