Friday 23 November 2018, 21:30
BayArena
Full time
57%
24%
18%
Home win
57.2%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
18.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart | 18.4% | 5.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / VfB Stuttgart | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / VfB Stuttgart | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
5.5
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
11.6
|
5.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
9.8
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
5.8
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
VfB Stuttgart
3-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Jan 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-4
VfB Stuttgart
Mar 2025
VfB Stuttgart
3-4
Bayer Leverkusen
Nov 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
0-0
VfB Stuttgart
Apr 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-2
VfB Stuttgart
Dec 2023
VfB Stuttgart
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.