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Saturday 10 November 2018, 16:30 Max-Morlock-Stadion Full time
37% 29% 34%
Home win
37.4%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
33.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Nurnberg 37.4% 2.67
Draw 29.0% 3.45
VfB Stuttgart 33.6% 2.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.6% 10.46
Over 1.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.4% 3.40
Over 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.8% 4.39
Under 3.5 77.2% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.0% 10.01
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.2% 1.99
No 49.8% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Nurnberg / Draw 66.4% 1.51
FC Nurnberg / VfB Stuttgart 71.0% 1.41
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 62.6% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.6
9.6
6.1
2.4
0.7
0.2
1
10.3
13.8
7.6
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
6.9
8.2
4.8
1.9
0.6
0.1
3
2.9
3.4
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
0.9
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Nurnberg goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.