Skip to content
Saturday 24 November 2018, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
28% 27% 45%
Home win
28.5%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
44.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 28.5% 3.51
Draw 26.6% 3.76
RB Leipzig 44.9% 2.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.83
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.24
Over 2.5 51.4% 1.95
Under 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Over 3.5 29.3% 3.42
Under 3.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.2% 7.05
Under 4.5 85.8% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.4% 1.81
No 44.6% 2.24

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 55.1% 1.82
VfL Wolfsburg / RB Leipzig 73.4% 1.36
Draw / RB Leipzig 71.5% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
9.4
7.8
4.0
1.6
0.5
1
7.0
12.7
9.2
4.8
1.8
0.6
2
4.6
7.1
5.5
2.8
1.1
0.3
3
1.8
2.8
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.