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Saturday 8 December 2018, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
26% 25% 49%
Home win
25.8%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
48.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 25.8% 3.87
Draw 25.5% 3.92
RB Leipzig 48.7% 2.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.43
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.62
Over 2.5 54.2% 1.85
Under 2.5 45.8% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.9% 3.14
Under 3.5 68.1% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.0% 6.26
Under 4.5 84.0% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.7% 1.76
No 43.3% 2.31

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 51.3% 1.95
SC Freiburg / RB Leipzig 74.5% 1.34
Draw / RB Leipzig 74.2% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
9.1
8.2
4.6
1.9
0.6
1
6.1
12.1
9.6
5.4
2.2
0.8
2
3.9
6.6
5.6
3.1
1.3
0.4
3
1.5
2.6
2.2
1.2
0.5
0.2
4
0.4
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: RB Leipzig goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.