Sunday 16 December 2018, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
61%
23%
16%
Home win
61.0%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
16.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.2% | 6.60 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / FSV Mainz 05 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
4.8
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.1
|
10.9
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.9
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
6.3
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
RB Leipzig
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
RB Leipzig
Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2024
FSV Mainz 05
0-2
RB Leipzig
Mar 2024
RB Leipzig
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2023
FSV Mainz 05
2-0
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.