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Saturday 8 December 2018, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
28% 26% 46%
Home win
28.1%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
46.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 28.1% 3.55
Draw 25.6% 3.91
1899 Hoffenheim 46.3% 2.16

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.16
Over 1.5 79.2% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.8% 4.81
Over 2.5 55.4% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.6% 2.24
Over 3.5 33.0% 3.03
Under 3.5 67.0% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.8% 5.95
Under 4.5 83.2% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.3% 1.72
No 41.7% 2.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 53.7% 1.86
VfL Wolfsburg / 1899 Hoffenheim 74.4% 1.34
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 71.9% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
8.4
7.5
4.2
1.7
0.6
1
6.2
12.0
9.4
5.2
2.1
0.7
2
4.3
7.1
5.8
3.2
1.3
0.4
3
1.8
2.9
2.4
1.3
0.6
0.2
4
0.6
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.