Wednesday 19 December 2018, 19:30
VELTINS-Arena
Full time
48%
26%
25%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
25.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.3% | 7.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 / Draw | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| FC Schalke 04 / Bayer Leverkusen | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
6.5
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
12.4
|
6.5
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.5
|
5.3
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
5.1
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
FC Schalke 04
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 2022
Bayer Leverkusen
4-0
FC Schalke 04
Apr 2021
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
FC Schalke 04
Dec 2020
FC Schalke 04
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Jun 2020
FC Schalke 04
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2019
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
FC Schalke 04
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.