Sunday 16 December 2018, 19:00
Commerzbank-Arena
Full time
49%
25%
26%
Home win
49.2%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
26.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.1% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Eintracht Frankfurt / Bayer Leverkusen | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
5.6
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
11.6
|
6.7
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
9.6
|
5.9
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
5.6
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Eintracht Frankfurt
1-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Sep 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
3-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Mar 2025
Eintracht Frankfurt
1-4
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
May 2024
Eintracht Frankfurt
1-5
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
3-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.