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Sunday 16 December 2018, 19:00 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
49% 25% 26%
Home win
49.2%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
26.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 49.2% 2.03
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Bayer Leverkusen 26.0% 3.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.36
Over 1.5 80.4% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.6% 5.09
Over 2.5 57.1% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.9% 2.33
Over 3.5 34.7% 2.88
Under 3.5 65.3% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.1% 5.54
Under 4.5 81.9% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.0% 1.70
No 41.0% 2.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 74.0% 1.35
Eintracht Frankfurt / Bayer Leverkusen 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 50.8% 1.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
5.6
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
8.3
11.6
6.7
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
7.8
9.6
5.9
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
4.6
5.6
3.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
2.0
2.5
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.7
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.