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Saturday 8 December 2018, 16:30 BayArena Full time
52% 24% 24%
Home win
52.1%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
23.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 52.1% 1.92
Draw 24.3% 4.11
FC Augsburg 23.6% 4.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.40
Over 1.5 80.4% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.6% 5.09
Over 2.5 57.1% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.9% 2.33
Over 3.5 34.7% 2.88
Under 3.5 65.3% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.1% 5.54
Under 4.5 81.9% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.1% 1.72
No 41.9% 2.39

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 76.4% 1.31
Bayer Leverkusen / FC Augsburg 75.7% 1.32
Draw / FC Augsburg 47.9% 2.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
5.3
3.4
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
8.6
11.4
6.2
2.4
0.7
0.2
2
8.4
9.8
5.7
2.2
0.6
0.1
3
5.1
5.9
3.4
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
2.3
2.7
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.8
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.