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Saturday 1 December 2018, 16:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
37% 31% 32%
Home win
36.8%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
32.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 36.8% 2.71
Draw 30.8% 3.25
FC Augsburg 32.4% 3.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.0% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.0% 8.34
Over 1.5 65.1% 1.54
Under 1.5 34.9% 2.87
Over 2.5 37.5% 2.67
Under 2.5 62.5% 1.60
Over 3.5 17.9% 5.60
Under 3.5 82.1% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.1% 14.00
Under 4.5 92.9% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.0% 2.22
No 55.0% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 67.6% 1.48
VfB Stuttgart / FC Augsburg 69.2% 1.44
Draw / FC Augsburg 63.2% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.0
11.0
6.2
2.2
0.6
0.1
1
11.9
14.2
7.0
2.5
0.6
0.1
2
7.3
7.6
4.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.8
2.9
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.