Friday 14 December 2018, 21:30
Max-Morlock-Stadion
Full time
32%
27%
41%
Home win
31.7%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
41.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nurnberg | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 13.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.3% | 7.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nurnberg / Draw | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| FC Nurnberg / VfL Wolfsburg | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / VfL Wolfsburg | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
9.2
|
7.1
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
13.0
|
8.8
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
7.6
|
5.4
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
3.1
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.