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Saturday 24 November 2018, 17:00 American Express Community Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
37% 28% 35%
Home win
37.5%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
34.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton 37.5% 2.67
Draw 27.9% 3.58
Leicester 34.6% 2.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.17
Over 1.5 73.9% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.1% 3.84
Over 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.3% 3.80
Under 3.5 73.7% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.2% 8.20
Under 4.5 87.8% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.6% 1.87
No 46.4% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton / Draw 65.4% 1.53
Brighton / Leicester 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Leicester 62.5% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
8.7
6.0
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
9.2
13.3
8.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.6
8.3
5.3
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.9
3.7
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.0
1.2
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Brighton goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.