Sunday 25 November 2018, 15:30
Vitality Stadium
Full time
28%
23%
49%
Home win
28.3%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
49.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.7% | 7.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| No | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Arsenal | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
5.4
|
6.0
|
4.0
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
3.9
|
9.5
|
9.0
|
6.1
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
6.7
|
6.8
|
4.6
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
3.4
|
3.4
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Arsenal
1-2
Bournemouth
Jan 2026
Bournemouth
2-3
Arsenal
May 2025
Arsenal
1-2
Bournemouth
Oct 2024
Bournemouth
2-0
Arsenal
May 2024
Arsenal
3-0
Bournemouth
Sep 2023
Bournemouth
0-4
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.