Skip to content
Sunday 11 November 2018, 18:30 Emirates Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
61% 23% 16%
Home win
61.0%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
16.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 61.0% 1.64
Draw 22.7% 4.40
Wolves 16.3% 6.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.48
Over 1.5 78.2% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.8% 4.58
Over 2.5 54.0% 1.85
Under 2.5 46.0% 2.17
Over 3.5 31.7% 3.16
Under 3.5 68.3% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.9% 6.31
Under 4.5 84.1% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.5% 1.94
No 48.5% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 83.7% 1.19
Arsenal / Wolves 77.3% 1.29
Draw / Wolves 39.0% 2.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
4.7
2.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
10.7
10.8
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
11.0
9.9
4.5
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
7.1
6.4
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
3.4
3.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.3
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: Wolves goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.