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Friday 21 December 2018, 21:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
60% 21% 20%
Home win
59.6%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
19.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 59.6% 1.68
Draw 20.9% 4.78
Borussia Mönchengladbach 19.5% 5.12

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.7% 26.72
Over 1.5 86.2% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.8% 7.26
Over 2.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 2.5 33.3% 3.00
Over 3.5 44.9% 2.23
Under 3.5 55.1% 1.82
Over 4.5 26.2% 3.81
Under 4.5 73.8% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.2% 1.58
No 36.8% 2.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 80.5% 1.24
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Mönchengladbach 79.1% 1.26
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 40.4% 2.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
3.4
2.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
6.6
9.2
5.3
2.1
0.7
0.2
2
7.9
9.6
5.9
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
5.9
7.1
4.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
4
3.3
4.0
2.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
5
1.4
1.8
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.