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Tuesday 18 December 2018, 19:30 Borussia-Park Full time
76% 15% 9%
Home win
75.7%
Draw
15.4%
Away win
8.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach 75.7% 1.32
Draw 15.4% 6.48
FC Nurnberg 8.9% 11.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.5% 28.81
Over 1.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.3% 7.49
Over 2.5 67.6% 1.48
Under 2.5 32.4% 3.09
Over 3.5 46.0% 2.17
Under 3.5 54.0% 1.85
Over 4.5 27.2% 3.68
Under 4.5 72.8% 1.37

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Draw 91.1% 1.10
Borussia Mönchengladbach / FC Nurnberg 84.6% 1.18
Draw / FC Nurnberg 24.3% 4.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.5
2.1
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
7.7
7.2
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
10.8
9.0
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
9.5
7.9
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
6.3
5.3
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
3.4
2.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Columns: FC Nurnberg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.