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Saturday 2 March 2019, 19:00 Kleanthis Vikelides Full time
26% 33% 41%
Home win
26.0%
Draw
33.1%
Away win
41.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 26.0% 3.85
Draw 33.1% 3.02
AEK Athens FC 41.0% 2.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.9% 6.28
Over 1.5 57.1% 1.75
Under 1.5 42.9% 2.33
Over 2.5 29.3% 3.41
Under 2.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.3% 8.11
Under 3.5 87.7% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.3% 23.19
Under 4.5 95.7% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.4% 2.68
No 62.6% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 59.0% 1.69
Aris Thessalonikis / AEK Athens FC 66.9% 1.49
Draw / AEK Athens FC 74.0% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.9
15.6
8.9
3.2
0.9
0.2
1
11.4
14.0
7.2
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
4.9
5.3
2.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
3
1.3
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.