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Sunday 24 February 2019, 19:30 Toumba Stadium Full time
72% 20% 9%
Home win
71.7%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
8.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 71.7% 1.40
Draw 19.7% 5.07
Aris Thessalonikis 8.6% 11.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.61
Over 1.5 73.8% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.2% 3.82
Over 2.5 48.2% 2.08
Under 2.5 51.8% 1.93
Over 3.5 26.4% 3.78
Under 3.5 73.6% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.3% 8.15
Under 4.5 87.7% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.9% 2.64
No 62.1% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 91.4% 1.09
PAOK / Aris Thessalonikis 80.3% 1.25
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 28.3% 3.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
3.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
14.6
9.0
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
15.4
8.7
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.5
5.9
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
5.3
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.2
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.