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Wednesday 5 May 2021, 21:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
1–2
HT 0–0
37% 28% 36%
Home win
36.6%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
35.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 36.6% 2.73
Draw 27.5% 3.64
PAOK 35.9% 2.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 12.96
Over 1.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.8% 4.03
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.8% 3.60
Under 3.5 72.2% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.60
Under 4.5 86.8% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.9% 1.82
No 45.1% 2.22

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 64.1% 1.56
AEK Athens FC / PAOK 72.5% 1.38
Draw / PAOK 63.4% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
8.5
6.1
2.7
0.9
0.2
1
8.6
13.1
8.2
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
6.3
8.3
5.5
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.8
3.7
2.4
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.9
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.