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Wednesday 21 April 2021, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
32% 29% 40%
Home win
31.8%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
39.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 31.8% 3.15
Draw 28.5% 3.51
PAOK 39.7% 2.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 11.00
Over 1.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.2% 3.54
Over 2.5 45.3% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83
Over 3.5 23.9% 4.18
Under 3.5 76.1% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.35
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.2% 1.95
No 48.8% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 60.3% 1.66
Aris Thessalonikis / PAOK 71.5% 1.40
Draw / PAOK 68.2% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
10.3
7.3
3.2
1.1
0.3
1
8.9
13.6
8.5
3.8
1.2
0.3
2
5.6
7.4
4.9
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.2
2.9
1.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.