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Sunday 11 April 2021, 15:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
Aris Thessalonikis
1–3
HT 0–3
AEK Athens FC
39% 29% 32%
Home win
38.6%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
32.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 38.6% 2.59 — —
Draw 29.1% 3.43 — —
AEK Athens FC 32.3% 3.10 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.2% 1.11 — —
Under 0.5 9.8% 10.19 — —
Over 1.5 70.0% 1.43 — —
Under 1.5 30.0% 3.34 — —
Over 2.5 43.2% 2.32 — —
Under 2.5 56.8% 1.76 — —
Over 3.5 22.2% 4.50 — —
Under 3.5 77.8% 1.29 — —
Over 4.5 9.6% 10.37 — —
Under 4.5 90.4% 1.11 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.6% 2.02 — —
No 50.4% 1.98 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 67.7% 1.48 — —
Aris Thessalonikis / AEK Athens FC 70.9% 1.41 — —
Draw / AEK Athens FC 61.4% 1.63 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.8
9.5
5.8
2.2
0.6
0.1
1
10.7
13.8
7.4
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.3
8.3
4.7
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
3.1
3.5
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Aris Thessalonikis
W D W L W
AEK Athens FC
D W L L L

Head to head

Jan 2026 Aris Thessalonikis 1-1 AEK Athens FC Nov 2025 AEK Athens FC 1-0 Aris Thessalonikis Mar 2025 Aris Thessalonikis 0-0 AEK Athens FC Nov 2024 AEK Athens FC 4-0 Aris Thessalonikis Apr 2024 Aris Thessalonikis 1-2 AEK Athens FC Apr 2024 AEK Athens FC 2-0 Aris Thessalonikis

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.