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Sunday 4 April 2021, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
AEK Athens FC
1–5
HT 0–4
Olympiakos Piraeus
23% 28% 49%
Home win
23.3%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
49.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 23.3% 4.28 — —
Draw 27.6% 3.62 — —
Olympiakos Piraeus 49.0% 2.04 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10 — —
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.59 — —
Over 1.5 70.8% 1.41 — —
Under 1.5 29.2% 3.42 — —
Over 2.5 44.1% 2.27 — —
Under 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Over 3.5 23.0% 4.35 — —
Under 3.5 77.0% 1.30 — —
Over 4.5 10.1% 9.89 — —
Under 4.5 89.9% 1.11 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.3% 2.07 — —
No 51.7% 1.93 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 51.0% 1.96 — —
AEK Athens FC / Olympiakos Piraeus 72.4% 1.38 — —
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 76.7% 1.30 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
12.2
9.7
4.8
1.8
0.5
1
7.5
13.1
9.2
4.6
1.7
0.5
2
3.9
5.9
4.4
2.2
0.8
0.2
3
1.2
1.9
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

AEK Athens FC
D D W L L
Olympiakos Piraeus
D W W W W

Head to head

May 2026 AEK Athens FC 1-1 Olympiakos Piraeus Apr 2026 Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 AEK Athens FC Feb 2026 AEK Athens FC 1-1 Olympiakos Piraeus Oct 2025 Olympiakos Piraeus 2-0 AEK Athens FC Apr 2025 AEK Athens FC 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus Apr 2025 Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 AEK Athens FC

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.