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Sunday 7 March 2021, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
60% 24% 16%
Home win
59.8%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
16.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 59.8% 1.67
Draw 24.1% 4.15
Aris Thessalonikis 16.1% 6.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.46
Over 1.5 74.0% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.0% 3.85
Over 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Under 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Over 3.5 26.5% 3.77
Under 3.5 73.5% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.4% 8.10
Under 4.5 87.7% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.2% 2.12
No 52.8% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 83.9% 1.19
PAOK / Aris Thessalonikis 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 40.2% 2.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
5.4
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
12.6
11.4
4.4
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.8
9.7
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
7.0
5.8
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.2
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.