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Sunday 4 April 2021, 17:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
52% 28% 20%
Home win
51.9%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
20.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 51.9% 1.93
Draw 27.9% 3.58
Asteras Tripolis 20.2% 4.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.30
Over 1.5 67.7% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.3% 3.09
Over 2.5 40.4% 2.47
Under 2.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.1% 4.98
Under 3.5 79.9% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.93
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.0% 2.27
No 56.0% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 79.8% 1.25
Aris Thessalonikis / Asteras Tripolis 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 48.1% 2.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
7.5
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.1
12.9
5.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.9
9.0
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.4
4.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.