Sunday 18 April 2021, 15:00
Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis
Full time
43%
31%
25%
Home win
43.3%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
25.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.5% | 7.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.4% | 6.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.8% | 17.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.1% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Aris Thessalonikis | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.5
|
10.1
|
4.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.6
|
13.9
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
7.9
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Panathinaikos
3-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Oct 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
1-1
Panathinaikos
Feb 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
2-0
Panathinaikos
Oct 2024
Panathinaikos
1-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Apr 2024
Panathinaikos
0-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Apr 2024
Aris Thessalonikis
0-2
Panathinaikos
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.