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Sunday 18 April 2021, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
AEK Athens FC
3–1
HT 1–1
Asteras Tripolis
59% 24% 16%
Home win
59.2%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
16.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 59.2% 1.69 — —
Draw 24.4% 4.09 — —
Asteras Tripolis 16.4% 6.10 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09 — —
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.14 — —
Over 1.5 73.5% 1.36 — —
Under 1.5 26.5% 3.77 — —
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10 — —
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Over 3.5 25.9% 3.85 — —
Under 3.5 74.1% 1.35 — —
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.36 — —
Under 4.5 88.0% 1.14 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.9% 2.13 — —
No 53.1% 1.88 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 83.6% 1.20 — —
AEK Athens FC / Asteras Tripolis 75.6% 1.32 — —
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 40.8% 2.45 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
5.5
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
12.7
11.6
4.5
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.8
9.6
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
6.9
5.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.0
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

AEK Athens FC
W L L L W
Asteras Tripolis
D L D L D

Head to head

Jan 2026 Asteras Tripolis 0-1 AEK Athens FC Aug 2025 AEK Athens FC 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Feb 2025 Asteras Tripolis 0-3 AEK Athens FC Nov 2024 AEK Athens FC 3-0 Asteras Tripolis Feb 2024 AEK Athens FC 4-2 Asteras Tripolis Oct 2023 Asteras Tripolis 0-3 AEK Athens FC

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.