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Wednesday 21 April 2021, 21:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
48% 29% 23%
Home win
48.1%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
23.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 48.1% 2.08
Draw 28.6% 3.49
Panathinaikos 23.3% 4.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.36
Over 1.5 67.9% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.1% 3.12
Over 2.5 40.7% 2.46
Under 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 3.5 79.7% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.77
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.6% 2.19
No 54.4% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 76.7% 1.30
AEK Athens FC / Panathinaikos 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Panathinaikos 51.9% 1.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
8.2
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
1
13.2
13.4
5.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
9.9
8.9
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
4.6
4.2
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.