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Sunday 25 April 2021, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
69% 20% 11%
Home win
68.7%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
11.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 68.7% 1.46
Draw 19.9% 5.03
AEK Athens FC 11.4% 8.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.0% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.0% 16.55
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.9% 4.78
Over 2.5 55.4% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.6% 2.24
Over 3.5 33.0% 3.03
Under 3.5 67.0% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.8% 5.95
Under 4.5 83.2% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.5% 2.11
No 52.5% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 88.6% 1.13
Olympiakos Piraeus / AEK Athens FC 80.1% 1.25
Draw / AEK Athens FC 31.3% 3.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.0
3.6
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
11.3
9.5
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.6
9.6
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
9.0
6.8
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
4.8
3.7
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
2.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.