Saturday 15 December 2018, 16:30
Mercedes-Benz Arena
Full time
34%
31%
35%
Home win
33.7%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
35.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.2% | 8.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart / Draw | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart / Hertha Berlin | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Hertha Berlin | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.2
|
11.8
|
6.9
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
14.2
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
7.2
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
Hertha Berlin
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
Nov 2022
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
Hertha Berlin
Apr 2022
Hertha Berlin
2-0
VfB Stuttgart
Dec 2021
VfB Stuttgart
2-2
Hertha Berlin
Feb 2021
VfB Stuttgart
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Oct 2020
Hertha Berlin
0-2
VfB Stuttgart
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.