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Sunday 21 October 2018, 21:45 Benito Villamarín Full time
35% 32% 32%
Home win
35.3%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
32.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 35.3% 2.83
Draw 32.3% 3.09
Valladolid 32.3% 3.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.2% 7.05
Over 1.5 60.5% 1.65
Under 1.5 39.5% 2.53
Over 2.5 32.7% 3.06
Under 2.5 67.3% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.5% 6.90
Under 3.5 85.5% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.4% 18.61
Under 4.5 94.6% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.0% 2.44
No 59.0% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 67.7% 1.48
Real Betis / Valladolid 67.7% 1.48
Draw / Valladolid 64.7% 1.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.2
12.3
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
1
13.0
14.3
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
7.2
7.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
2.5
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Valladolid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.