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Wednesday 5 May 2021, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
51% 30% 19%
Home win
50.9%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
19.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 50.9% 1.97
Draw 30.1% 3.32
Asteras Tripolis 19.1% 5.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.17
Over 1.5 60.8% 1.65
Under 1.5 39.2% 2.55
Over 2.5 33.0% 3.03
Under 2.5 67.0% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.7% 6.79
Under 3.5 85.3% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.5% 18.22
Under 4.5 94.5% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.7% 2.65
No 62.3% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 80.9% 1.24
Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 49.1% 2.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
8.5
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
16.7
13.0
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
8.1
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
5.1
3.6
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.