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Sunday 25 April 2021, 17:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
Asteras Tripolis
1–1
HT 0–0
Aris Thessalonikis
34% 31% 35%
Home win
33.8%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
35.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 33.8% 2.95 — —
Draw 30.8% 3.25 — —
Aris Thessalonikis 35.4% 2.83 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.0% 1.14 — —
Under 0.5 12.0% 8.35 — —
Over 1.5 65.1% 1.54 — —
Under 1.5 34.9% 2.87 — —
Over 2.5 37.5% 2.67 — —
Under 2.5 62.5% 1.60 — —
Over 3.5 17.9% 5.59 — —
Under 3.5 82.1% 1.22 — —
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.97 — —
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.1% 2.22 — —
No 54.9% 1.82 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 64.6% 1.55 — —
Asteras Tripolis / Aris Thessalonikis 69.2% 1.45 — —
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 66.2% 1.51 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.0
11.6
6.9
2.6
0.7
0.2
1
11.3
14.2
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
6.5
7.2
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.4
2.6
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Asteras Tripolis
D L D L L
Aris Thessalonikis
L W L W L

Head to head

Dec 2025 Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Aris Thessalonikis Nov 2025 Aris Thessalonikis 0-0 Asteras Tripolis May 2025 Aris Thessalonikis 4-2 Asteras Tripolis Mar 2025 Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Aris Thessalonikis Dec 2024 Asteras Tripolis 2-1 Aris Thessalonikis Aug 2024 Aris Thessalonikis 1-1 Asteras Tripolis

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.