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Saturday 4 February 2012, 17:15 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
34% 36% 29%
Home win
34.4%
Draw
36.1%
Away win
29.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 34.4% 2.90
Draw 36.1% 2.77
PAS Giannina 29.4% 3.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.1% 1.25
Under 0.5 19.9% 5.03
Over 1.5 50.1% 2.00
Under 1.5 50.0% 2.00
Over 2.5 23.1% 4.33
Under 2.5 76.9% 1.30
Over 3.5 8.7% 11.55
Under 3.5 91.3% 1.09
Over 4.5 2.7% 37.24
Under 4.5 97.3% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.4% 3.09
No 67.6% 1.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 70.6% 1.42
AOK Kerkyra / PAS Giannina 63.9% 1.57
Draw / PAS Giannina 65.6% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.9
14.2
5.9
1.5
0.3
0.0
1
15.9
13.8
5.1
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
7.3
5.7
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
2.1
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.