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Wednesday 22 July 2020, 20:00 Old Trafford Full time
66% 20% 14%
Home win
66.4%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
13.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 66.4% 1.51
Draw 19.9% 5.02
West Ham 13.7% 7.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.59
Over 1.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.4% 5.75
Over 2.5 60.8% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Over 3.5 38.4% 2.60
Under 3.5 61.6% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.9% 4.79
Under 4.5 79.1% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.1% 1.85
No 45.9% 2.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 86.3% 1.16
Manchester United / West Ham 80.1% 1.25
Draw / West Ham 33.6% 2.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
3.4
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
9.1
9.4
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
10.7
9.8
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
7.9
7.3
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
4.4
4.0
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
1.9
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.